ItsAstronomical

Presidential Election or: How I Learned To Stop Worrying And Love The D.A

I am not prepared to change any of my predictions from last month - but I am prepared to tell you that part of the reason I've been so bullish on Biden's is that I had a feeling something would happen to Trump. Maybe not a guilty verdict, but like, jail time for violating a gag order or something else. But a guilty verdict, even in a case like this, is not a good sign for Trump.

As of now, I predict Biden will win 303 electoral votes to Trump 235.

Rating	Biden	Trump
Solid	209 Electoral Votes (including Maine's 1st Congressional District)	123 Electoral Votes
Likely	16 Electoral Votes (Minnesota, New Hampshire, Maine at Large)	57 Electoral Votes (Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Alaska, and Maine's 2nd District)
Lean	78 Electoral Votes (Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District)	40 Electoral Votes (Texas)
Tilt	0 Electoral Votes	16 Electoral Votes (North Carolina)

Senate

As of now, I predict Republicans will have 50 Senate Seats to Democrat's 50. Under this map, and my other one, Democrats will have an majority with VP Harris breaking ties.

Rating	Democrats (Plus Independents in VT and ME)	Republicans
Seats Not Up	28 Seats	38 Seats
Solid	14 Seats	10 Seats (West Virginia)
Likely	3 Seats (Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania)	1 Seat (Florida)
Lean	3 Seats (Nevada, Arizona, Ohio)	1 Seats (Texas)
Tilt	1 Seat (Montana)	0 Seats

House Of Representatives

As of now, I predict Democrats will have 224 House Seats to Republican's 211 - the ballpark probably being plus or minus 10.

Rating	Democrats	Republicans
Solid	168 Seats	178 Seats
Likely	27 Seats	19 Seats
Lean	27 Seats	11 Seats
Tilt	2 Seats	2 Seats

Gubernatorial

As of now, I predict Republicans will have 27 Governors Mansions to Democrat's 23.

Rating	Democrats	Republicans
Seats Not Up	20 Seats	19 Seats
Solid	2 Seats	7 Seats
Likely	0 Seats	0 Seats
Lean	1 Seats (North Carolina)	1 Seat (New Hampshire)
Tilt	0 Seats	0 Seats